M ^*^^^i||BITI8H KMBAS3Y. | WASHIKOIQN, ».G. ^ January 10th, 1939 My Lord, With reference to my telegram No* 6 of January 4th Z have the honour to transmit to Your Lordship a copy of the annual message which the President read on January 4th before a joint session of the Senate and House of Representatives* 2* Mr* Roosevelt opened his speech toy inform- ing Congress that he had in the past felt it necessary to warn them of disturbances abroad and of the need of putting the American house in order in the face of storm signals from overseas; he now warned then once more* A war which threatened to involve the world in flames had been averted, but it had become increasingly clear that peace was not assured* Armaments, military and economic* were growing more deadly* and there were threats of new aggression* Storms from abroad directly challenged three insti- tutions indispensable to Americans* The first was religion* and it was the source of the other two, democracy and international good faith* where freedom of religion had been attacked the attack had come from sources opposed to democracy* Where democracy had been overthrown the spirit of free worship had disappeared and where religion and democracy had/ The Right Honourable Viscount Halifax, K.G • * Etc. etc* etc. had raniehed good faith In International affairs tad given way to etrident ambition and bruta force. There came a time whoa men must prepare to defend not their boat a alone, but religion, democracy and good faith among nations. If the new philosophies of force were to encompass the other continents and invade America this country no more than any other could afford to be surrounded by the enemies of our faith and our humanity. §It was fortunate therefore that In the tVeatern Hemisphere under a common ideal of democratic government there was a rich diversity of resources and of peoples living together in mutual reapect and peace. The United States proposed to do ita share in protecting this Hemisphere. This did not man the Americas against the rest of the worldj *We, as one of the Republics, reiterate our willingness to help the cause of world peace* We stand on our historic offer to take council with all other nations of the world to the end that aggression among them be terminated, that the race of armaments cease and that commerce be renewed." 3» The President proceeded to argue that the world had grown so small and weapons of attack so swift that no nation could feel sure of peace. weapons of defence therefore gave the only safety if any government bristling with implements of war insisted on policies of force. Effective timing of defence was essential and survival could not be guaranteed by arming after the attack had begun* God-fearing democracies could not forever let paaa without protest acts of aggression against sister nations. "The mere fact/ 50 -3- fact that we rightly decline to intervene with arms to prevent acta of aggression does not raeen that we Bust act as if there were no aggression at all* Words may be futile, bat war is not the only means of commanding a decent respect for the opinions of mankind; There are many methods short of war, tout stronger and sore effective than mere words, of bringing home to aggressor governments the aggregate sentiments of our own people*. 4* Mr* Roosevelt next insisted that everything should toe done to avoid encouraging or assisting an aggressor, and pointed out that the existing neutrality lawa may operate unevenly and unfairly toy actively giving aid to an aggressor aid denying it to a victim. Another lesson waa that the probability of attack was greatly decreased toy the assurance of an ever ready defence. The country must have armed forces and defences strong enough to ward off sudden attack against strategic positions and key facilities, essential to ensure sustained resistance and ultimate victory. Secondly, the country must have the organisation and location of those key facilities so that they may be immediately utilised and rapidly expanded to meet all needs without danger of Inter- ruption toy enemy attack. Mr. Roosevelt therefore in the next few days intended to send a special message to Congress making recommendations for such defence measures. 6. The/ 51 6* The third essential lay in the underlying strength of citizenship, the self-confidence, the ability, imagination and devotion to see thing* through* Even a well armed nation might meet'defeat if it woo unnerved by self-diatrust, endangered by class prejudice, dissension between capital and labour and unsolved social problems at home* "In meeting the troubles of the world we must meet them as one people" • A democratic nation, not being regimented like a dictatorship, could only muster ita united strength when the people felt that they were receiving the fullest opportunities for development* The nation's programme of social and economic reform was therefore a part of defence as baslo as armaments themselves* 6* Prom this the President went on to summarise the achievements of the six years of his administra- tion In social reform, and to claim that they con- stituted the greatest six years of internal prepared* ness in the nation's history, and that all this had been done without dictatorship, without conscription and without restriction of freedom of speech* Hew tools of Government had had to bo forged, and some of them were roughly shaped and needed improvement* The tools could not be pat to their ¦stIimm use until the executive processes of government were reorganised* After thus foreshadowing a fresh attempt to persuade Congress to pass a Mil for greater government efficiency Mr. Roosevelt said that with the exception of legislatior 5A -5- to ameliorate railroad and other traneportation problems, paot Congresses had more or lose set the needs Of the new order of things* no period of Internal conflict In launching a programme of social reform was now past and energies could bo released to improve existing legislation. Time was of paramount importance because "we are off on a race to make democracy work so that we may be efficient in peace and therefore secure In self** defence." 7. The rest of the message dealt mainly with the President's argument that capital and man power must he brought together, existing oapital put to employment In order to create a national income of 80 billions of dollars a year, and existing expenditure increased rather than curtailed to achieve that end. Z have referred to this part of the message In another despatch. 6* The tremendous emphasis which Mr. Roosevelt laid in his speech upon the need for defence organ* loatlon and preparedness for war io an indication of how strong is his alarm at the present state of affairs in Bur ope and Asia. X understand that ho talks quite openly with his intimates about the probability of war in Europe this Spring. Speaking the other day privately to a group of journalists ho is said to hawm called their attention to two dates, April 6th 1917 when the united States entered the war and May 20th, 1918 when American troops were first engaged in battle, and to have remarked that America/ America could not always la the future rely on others to fight her battles for her* The President will hare a considerable tussle with Congress to get his way about an adequate defence programme* The legislature la fall of amateur strategists who will all have their own ideas, and there la a strong nucleus of complete pacifists who consider that America should not fight la any cir- cumstances. Generally, I believe that Congress is la favour Of increased armaments for self- defence, although it reflects the opinion of the electorate in believing that America should and can keep out of a groat war* The President Is convinced to the contrary and is out to educate the people away from isolationism* He began the process at Chicago la the Autumn of 1937, but in spite of the "Panay" Incident he met with vary little success. The shock of events in Europe last September has made hi a hearers more receptive, but the Munich settlement is not popular and the President's part la it has beea rather played dowa of late* The present session of Congress may well prove educational to the country at large, but the real test will come over the ¦eawrality debates and 1 foresee considerable reluc- tance to give the President as free a hand as he would like. 9.* The press has on the whole received the President'e message with more enthusiasm for Its defence section than for the part dealing with internal affairs and continued spending for prosperity* The •Mew/ "Now York Time a" thinks the message Barks a turning point in the Administration's history, but Is cautious with praise. It is disheartened to fiat lavish government spending still championed when, la the paper's view, the record shows such spending to be s relatively minor factor in recovery. It calls the President's foreign policy, "if put Into action a sharp break with the traditions of the immediate past" and considers that the policy needs more definition. It believes, however, that It is time to reconsider whether the Neutrality Act "represents the opinion or promises te conserve the interests of the American people". the *Wew York Herald Tribune" in a leading article headed "Spending from fright", safe the nation "faces a possible war emergency with the greatest debt In history and the budget completely out of control" end calls the President's attempt to shift responsibility en te Congress "naive". The paper holds that the road ef active Intervention against aggressors cannot be fallowed alone but requires a clear working under* standing with the other great democracies, which, In its turn, depends on the reality of the menace. The "Baltimore Sun" flade the President "net definite in his bases14 for demanding more ansa* It charges him with "groping" and "inconclusiveness" despite his "discovery* that fer six years America has been getting ready for Hitler* ¦£ "Never has Mr* Roosevelt shone more brilliantly in the improvisation of life* long convictions." The lesser rape re tend to approve/ 5S approve the President's foreign policy while dealing according to their lights with hie attitude on domestic affaire, or criticising his linking of the two* Hone goes further in this latter angle of attack then the "Chicago Tribune* which, in a leader entitled "Air. Roosevelt goes to War", assorts that Hitler, Mussolini and the Japanese generals are as necessary to the President as he is to them* "A dictator seeks the role of deliverer and protector", it says* "the greatest danger is not over the water" • 10. Of the columnists, Arthur Krock, writing In the "Hew York Tines", believes that the President's linked programme will be strongly resisted In Congress and that the chief effort of Its critics will bo to deal w»ith the two parts one by one* Frank Kent, in the "Baltimore Sun", considers that the interest in the new Congress lies in the attitude of the Democratic Senators* If the President, he says* has lost control of the Senate Democrats, he has lost control of the Democratic Party* Dorothy Thompson calls the Message the greatest speech of the President*s career, and fully approves Its foreign policy* She holds however that the Hew Deal has lamentably failed to secure the cooperation of capital and labour, and she calls not for spending alone, but for a policy on spending* waiter Llppmann, in a wide-ranging article, calls the message a land- mark in the history of western thought* In its opening insistence on religion as the source of democracy/ -9- democracy and international good faith, he thinks it registers a fundamental change of ideas that is in general progress throughout the world* Mr. Roosevelt has seen, he says, that It is not enough to denounce tyranny and oppression abroad; "that it is necessary to bring to an end those deep and ancient antagonisms (i.e. the class straggle and the hitherto assumed opposition of religion and patriotism to freedom and progress) within the democratic nations that have paralyzed and disorganized them in their conflict with revolution at home and with aggros* sion from abroad." the High Commissioner for the United Kingdom in Canada. ^ r ii« Z have the honour to to with the highest respect, My Lord, Tour Lordship's most obedient humble servant, (,8Gii) Y.A.L.yallet H.K.CHARGE D'AFFAIRES