Minutes.
Mr. Hoyeri^kr
Copy to:-
Admiral Little.
N.I.D. 18.
Z
o
<
0)
—
I
H
Z
UJ
CD
O
©
z
I
H
O
z
I was informed by the Director of
U.S. Naval Intelligence this afternoon that it
is the considered opinion of the Navy Depart-
ment that Japan will make a decisive move with-
in two weeks.   This opinion has been formed
as a result of the following indications:-
held
(1) At the meeting at Tokio yesterday/by the
Emperor, the heads of the Navy and Army
were present, as well as the Cabinet
Ministers.   Uniform was worn, the
Emperor himself wearing naval uniform.
This is reported as £ very rare event.
(2) From an authoritative source at New York
it is learned that instructions were
given on July 1st to all Japanese ships
on the East coast of America to leave
the Atlantic, starting on July 16th via
the jftanama Canal on a schedule of one
ship per day.
(3„) Madame Chiang Kai Chek told Mr. Currey .
that Generalissimo Chiang Kai Chek *±±1
t-^U* attack Russia within two weeks.
It is further rumoured from Los
Angeles that Japanese ships there are under
orders to sail.
The Navy Department considers there
is no indication as to whether the Japanese
Fleet will move North or South, but that it is
disposed so as to do either.
They also consider that the Army in
Manchuria does not look strong enoiagh for a
major effort and it is more disposed for de-
fence than offence.
There is also a rumour that the
Japanese ambassador Nomura is packing his bag.
Navy Department has picked on July
20th as being probable date of Japanese move.
N.A.
3/7/41